One game at a carnival is called “Duck Pond.” This game consists of a large number of ducks that are floating through an oval-shaped trough. A sign claims that 20% of the ducks have a blue dot on the bottom of them, 20% have a red dot, 20% have a green dot, 20% have a yellow dot, and 20% have an orange dot. Players pay to select one duck, show the color to the game attendant, replace the duck, spin around once, and then select a second duck. If the dot on the bottom of the second duck matches the dot that was on the bottom of the first duck, the player wins. Otherwise, the player loses