Inductive arguments take specific premises to make general conclusions. a strong inductive argument is most probably the case, and a weak inductive argument is most likely not the case. a causal inductive argument is very similar. it works like this: when x happens then y happens. x probably causes y. consider these two causal inductive arguments:

1. every day of my life, the sun has risen in the morning. tomorrow morning is another day; therefore the sun will probably rise.
2. every time i flick this switch, the living room light goes on. therefore this switch probably controls the living room light.

discussion questions:

1. do these arguments seem obvious? why or why not?
2. understanding the structure of inductive arguments, how do you rate the strength or weakness of perceived causal relationships within arguments?