Suppose a tire manufacturer wants to set a mileage guarantee on its new XB 70 tire. Tests revealed that the tire's mileage is normally distributed with a mean of 47,900 miles and a standard deviation of 2,050 miles. The manufacturer wants to set the guaranteed mileage so that no more than 5% of the tires will have to be replaced. What guaranteed mileage should the manufacturer announce

The manufacturer should announce a guaranteed mileage of 44528 miles

Explanation:

Problems of normally distributed samples are solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean and standard deviation , the zscore of a measure X is given by:

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the pvalue, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

In this problem, we have that:

What guaranteed mileage should the manufacturer announce

Only until the 5th percentile will have to be replaced, which is the value of X when Z has a pvalue of 0.05. So it is X when Z = -1.645.

The manufacturer should announce a guaranteed mileage of 44528 miles

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