In august 2012, tropical storm isaac formed in the caribbean and was headed for the gulf of mexico. there was an initial probability of .69 that isaac would become a hurricane by the time it reached the gulf of mexico (national hurricane center website, august 21, 2012). what was the probability that isaac would not become a hurricane but remain a tropical storm when it reached the gulf of mexico?
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In august 2012, tropical storm isaac formed in the caribbean and was headed for the gulf of mexico....
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