Common mistakes made in decision making include use of all of the following except a. underestimating the improbable b. the gambler’s fallacy c. the confirmation bias d. the overconfidence effect

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Common Mistakes made in decision making include use of all of the following except the Gambler's Fallacy. (Alternative B)

The Gambler's Fallacy is, in simple terms, the idea that because an event occurred repeated times in the past, its probability of happening again is smaller. This is not true when talking about playing the odds, since every time a slot machine rolls, for example, previous results don't matter, and all the results have an equal chance of happening. Among the alternatives, it could be considered the least common problem when it comes to decision making mistakes.

It's super common to underestimate the improbable, as well as using a confirmation bias to make yourself believe that what you prefer to believe is actually true. Being overconfident on our abilities and knowledge is also common, and can definitely lead to mistakes.

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