Suppose i ask you to pick any four cards at random from a deck of 52, without replacement, and bet you one dollar that at least one of the four is a face card (i. e., jack, queen, or king). should you take the bet? why? (hint: see how the probability of this event compares to 50%. if this is too hard, try it with replacement first.) (b) what if the bet involves picking three cards at random instead of four? should you take the bet then? why? (c) refer to the posted rcode folder for this part. answer all questions.

a) No, because you have only 33.8% of chances of winning the bet.

b) No, because you have only 44.7% of chances of winning the bet.

Step-by-step explanation:

a) Of the total amount of cards (n=52 cards) there are 12 face cards (3 face cards: Jack, Queen, or King for everyone of the 4 suits: clubs, diamonds, hearts and spades).

The probabiility of losing this bet is the sum of:

- The probability of having a face card in the first turn

- The probability of having a face card in the second turn, having a non-face card in the first turn.

- The probability of having a face card in the third turn, having a non-face card in the previous turns.

- The probability of having a face card in the fourth turn, having a non-face card in the previous turns.

1) The probability of having a face card in the first turn

In this case, the chances are 12 in 52:

2) The probability of having a face card in the second turn, having a non-face card in the first turn.

In this case, first we have to get a non-face card (there are 40 in the dech of 52), and then, with the rest of the cards (there are 51 left now), getting a face card:

3) The probability of having a face card in the third turn, having a non-face card in the first and second turn.

In this case, first we have to get two consecutive non-face card, and then, with the rest of the cards, getting a face card:

4) The probability of having a face card in the fourth turn, having a non-face card in the previous turns.

In this case, first we have to get three consecutive non-face card, and then, with the rest of the cards, getting a face card:

With these four probabilities we can calculate the probability of losing this bet:

The probability of losing is 66.2%, which is the same as saying you have (1-0.662)=0.338 or 33.8% of winning chances. Losing is more probable than winning, so you should not take the bet.

b) If the bet involves 3 cards, the only difference with a) is that there is no probability of getting the face card in the fourth turn.

We can calculate the probability of losing as the sum of the first probabilities already calculated:

There is 55.3% of losing (or 44.7% of winning), so it is still not convenient to bet.

2 & 7

step-by-step explanation:

he climbs 300 ft/hr at a constant rate. the peak is at 1,500 ft.

when going up, he reaches 600 ft in 2 hours. remember, that he is going in a constant rate. divide 600 with 300:

600/300 = 2

assuming that he takes the same route back (meaning that it's a 1500 ft route back, you can solve.

note also that you are solving when he gets back to 600 ft after he reaches the peak.

first, find the amount of hours it takes to get up the peak. divide the total amount (1500), with the ft/her (300) to get the amount of hours (x):

1500/300 = x

x = 5

it takes jamie 5 hours to get up. now, he is returning down, and reaches 600 (his current destination). remember that he climbs at a constant 300 ft/hr. divide 600 with 300:

600/300 = x

x = 2

now add the two numbers together.

x = 5 + 2 = 7

jamie takes 7 hours to go up the mountain and reach his current position when descending.

(total amount/constant rate) = (time).

remember that it is a constant rate, so in total, when he gets back down the mountain, it will take the same amount of time as when he goes up. the total amount for the round trip is: 5 + 5 = 10.

~

c) yes, because of asa or aas