Mathematics, 09.11.2019 00:31 DnakMeme6e7272727272
Government approval for a nuclear power plant on the california coast requires a hazard evaluation. included is a probability analysis of various potentially damaging accidents or natural disasters. compute the probability of at least one occurrence, (1) in a single year and (2) sometime in the next 100 years, from each of the following potentially damaging events, all of which arise from independent poisson processes:
(a) impact from an airplane crash, presumed to occur in the vicinity of the generator site at a mean annual rate of .1
1) p(at least 1 in a year) =
2) p(at least 1 in a 100 years) =
b) being hit by a large tsunami (tidal wave), known to occur once every 1,000 years with a further chance of 1/500 of hitting a particular location the width of the generator site
1) p(at least 1 in a year) =
2) p(at least 1 in a 100 years) =
(c) an earthquake causing rupture in the reactor cooling system. this could be only from a richter-8 or greater shock whose epicenter falls near the generator site. this event is judged to have a mean rate of .1 per year.
1) p(at least 1 in a year) =
2) p(at least 1 in a 100 years) =
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Government approval for a nuclear power plant on the california coast requires a hazard evaluation....
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