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Mathematics, 10.04.2020 03:38 ChanceJ

2. The following data shows the quarterly profit (in thousands of dollars) made by a particular company in the past 3 years. Year Quarter Profit ($1000s) 1 1 45 1 2 51 1 3 72 1 4 50 2 1 49 2 2 45 2 3 79 2 4 54 3 1 42 3 2 58 3 3 70 3 4 56 a. Use α = 0.3 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series. Compute MSE and the forecast of profit (in $1000s) for the next quarter. b. Compare the three-period moving average forecast with the exponential smoothing forecast using α = 0.3. Which appears to provide the better forecast based on MSE?

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