PLEASE HELP!! Have you ever wondered about the likelihood of an event occurring? Whether it’s the odds of your favorite football team winning on Sunday or how much you pay for car insurance, probability concepts can play a role in making those determinations. Respond to the following questions in a minimum of 175 words:

· Referring to questions below give an example of a situation where your understanding of probability might help you make a decision. Use the terms/concepts from week 5 reading.

1. What sorts of information would you collect, using your critical thinking?

2. What sorts of information would you collect keeping in mind the definition of probability?

3. How might you use what you have learned about probability to determine a course of action?

4. What are the possible benefits and limitations of this approach?

step-by-step explanation:

i found the life tables for the year 2012. 

life table of males at age 30. probability of dying between ages x and x+1

total population:  

29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001030

30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001061

males:  

29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001420

30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001448

white population

29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001005

30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001037

white males

29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001372

30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001399

non hispanic white population

29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001083

30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001116

non hispanic white males

29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001477

30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001503

jacob, non hispanic white male. 30 years old.

probability that jacob lives to be 30 years old. 

since the given probabilities are probabilities of dying, i think we simply subtract it from 1 to get the probability of living. we will use the probability of non hispanic white male.

                                          probability of living to be 30 y.o.

29 - 30 : 1 - 0.001477 = 0.998523

30 - 31 : 1 - 0.001503 = 0.998497