Only 15% of all days in Central Texas are rainy. Moreover, you know the track record of the weather app on your phone: when it rains, your app gives the correct forecast (and correctly says it will rain tomorrow) 90% of the time. When it does not rain, your weather app raises a false alarm (and incorrectly says it will rain tomorrow) 5% of the time. Suppose your app says that it's going to rain tomorrow. What is the probability that it actually will rain