Forty families gathered for a fund-raising event. Suppose the individual contribution for each family is normally distributed with a mean and a standard deviation of $105 and $40, respectively. The organizers would call this event a success if the total contributions exceed $4,600. What is the probability that this fund-raising event is a success

0.0571 = 5.71% probability that this fund-raising event is a success

Step-by-step explanation:

To solve this question, we need to understand the normal probability distribution and the central limit theorem.

Normal Probability Distribution:

Problems of normal distributions can be solved using the z-score formula.

In a set with mean and standard deviation , the z-score of a measure X is given by:

The Z-score measures how many standard deviations the measure is from the mean. After finding the Z-score, we look at the z-score table and find the p-value associated with this z-score. This p-value is the probability that the value of the measure is smaller than X, that is, the percentile of X. Subtracting 1 by the p-value, we get the probability that the value of the measure is greater than X.

Central Limit Theorem

The Central Limit Theorem estabilishes that, for a normally distributed random variable X, with mean and standard deviation , the sampling distribution of the sample means with size n can be approximated to a normal distribution with mean and standard deviation .

For a skewed variable, the Central Limit Theorem can also be applied, as long as n is at least 30.

The organizers would call this event a success if the total contributions exceed $4,600

Forty families, so sample mean above 4600/40 = 115.

Mean and a standard deviation of $105 and $40

This means that

Sample of 40

This means that

What is the probability that this fund-raising event is a success?

Sample mean above 115, which is 1 subtracted by the pvalue of Z when X = 115. So

By the Central Limit Theorem

has a pvalue of 0.9429

1 - 0.9429 = 0.0571

0.0571 = 5.71% probability that this fund-raising event is a success

answer: city needs 2.4 inches of rainfall more to match the record of 40 inches.

step-by-step explanation:

since we have given that

total annual rainfall a city record = 40 inches

this year, total rainfall recorded = 37.6 inches

number of inches of rainfall   is needed to match the record of 40 inches is given by

hence, city needs 2.4 inches of rainfall more to match the record of 40 inches.