Ranette is a craftswoman that has a 1/5 chance of creating a flawless work, independent of her other works. Each week, Ranette will accept 1, 2, or 3 orders from customers with respective probabilities of 1/4, 1/2, and 1/4. She is guaranteed to accept at least one order each week. What is the probability that Ranette accepted 2 orders given that she created one flawless work in that week

For a science project, a high school research team conducted a survey of local air temperatures. based on the results of the survey, the found that the average temperatures were around 10 degrees higher than expected. this result was wrong. the trouble with the survey was that most of the locations were exposed to direct sunlight and located over asphalt or sand, which resulted in higher temperatures than normal. this is a classic example of an error in which phase of inferential statistics?