Theory suggests that if the ship is too near a planet, blackhole, or star there is a probability of thruster system malfunction. Thruster malfunction has a probability to cause controller overheating or stabilization system failure. If the stabilization system fails or controller overheats this likely will lead to a complete system failure which likely results in loss of the ship. Draw a Bayesian Belief Network based on the above paragraph, I gave you some representations below, you pick the rest. I put the required nodes in bold to assist.
Turn that BBN into a junction tree.
Simplify the probability of the following path being completely true using the BBN dependencies and the chain rule
Some data was taken to get the following table considering only Planet proximity and Thruster system malfunction. What is the probability of a Thruster System Malfunction given evidence too near Planet, based on this are they independent?
P TSM p
T T 0.01
T F 0.04
F T 0.01
F F 0.94