step-by-step explanation:
i found the life tables for the year 2012.
life table of males at age 30. probability of dying between ages x and x+1
total population:
29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001030
30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001061
males:
29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001420
30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001448
white population
29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001005
30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001037
white males
29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001372
30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001399
non hispanic white population
29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001083
30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001116
non hispanic white males
29–30 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001477
30–31 . . . . . . . . . . . . 0.001503
jacob, non hispanic white male. 30 years old.
probability that jacob lives to be 30 years old.
since the given probabilities are probabilities of dying, i think we simply subtract it from 1 to get the probability of living. we will use the probability of non hispanic white male.
probability of living to be 30 y.o.
29 - 30 : 1 - 0.001477 = 0.998523
30 - 31 : 1 - 0.001503 = 0.998497
